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Сообщение: <blockquote data-quote="Morrissambit" data-source="post: 1090848" data-attributes="member: 85778">Lytz Democrats say Trump agrees to deal on spending, debt, Harvey aidMitt Romney and President Obama point fingers during the second presidential debate at Hofstra Univesity in New York. Photo by Charlie Neibergall/AP/ <a href="https://www.cup-stanley.co.uk">stanley cup</a> New York Daily News.We first reported on presidential prediction markets in a favorite story of ours that aired back in 2004. Since then, more and more people have been talking about electronic markets like Intrade  based in Dublin  and IEM  based in Iowa . And recently, there was even a proposal for presidential arbitrage. Over at The Daily Beast, Alex Klein revealed a just about risk-free way to make an annual return of more than 40 percent on a simple pair of bets.I linked to Klein   story on Twitter just after the Mother Jones 47 percent Romney video:Romney odds: Intrade 33%; IEM 27%; Betfair 25%; Predictwise 27% 鈫?.5% post-video bit.ly/OFzeEX. Wanna arbitrage  bit.ly/OZEDckmdash; Paul Solman  @paulsolman  September 19, 2012In r <a href="https://www.stanleymug.us">stanley cup</a> esponse, Doug Dachille, former head of trading at JP Morgan, emailed to warn of the dangers in such a bet: basis risk  beca <a href="https://www.stanley-cup.co.nz">stanley cup</a> use Obama or Romney could lose the popular vote  IEM  but win the election  Intrade ; counterparty risk  because the market in which you ;ve bet on could collapse and be unable to pay; tail risk  trades that offer a very small payoff most of the time, but result in a loss if some event occurs that has happened relatively infrequently on a historical basis. And, we should add, legal risk  Lkst French ex-President Nicolas Sarkozy convicted in campaign financing caseSoldier on patrol in Paktika province, Afghanistan. Photo courtesy of Defense DepartmentOne day after the White House released its counterterrorism strategy to conquer al-Qaida and its partners, the Defense Department announced the death of a leader of the Haqqani terrorist network.Defense officials linked the insurgent leader, Ismail Jan, who was killed in an airstrike in Afghanistan, to Tuesday   siege of the Inter-Continental Hotel in the country   capital Kabul.The White House   newly released counterterrorism strategy acknowledged the threats posed by Iran, Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas, but said it focused on defeating al-Qaida and its affiliates because the United States is at war with the terrorist network. This strategy is clear and precise in our ultimate objective: we will disrupt, dismantle, and ultimately defeat al-Qaida  its leadership core in the Afghanistan-Pakistan region, its affiliates and adherents to ensure the security of our <a href="https://www.adidas-originals.es">adidas og</a>  citizens and interests, the 19-page document says. <a href="https://www.stanleywebsite.us">stanley cup</a> The strategy described targeting al-Qaida through special operation forces and quick deployments of unique assets, which was interpreted in news reports as drone strikes.You can read the full strategy below or read a factsheet from the White House.John Brennan, White House counter <a href="https://www.dunks.fr">nike dunk</a> terrorism adviser, said Wednesday that the strategy includes bolstering Afghan security forces and continuing to cooperate with Pakistan. The k</blockquote>

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